But last week’s iPhone 4.0 preview, which isn’t due on the iPad until autumn, already makes it look much more attractive as a netbook or laptop replacement than it did on Wednesday.

I’ll admit I truly loathe netbooks. When the first models emerged at least they had their size going for them. Now they’re bigger and more expensive, but mostly dog slow.

Size and weight matters to me, and the iPad has had these advantages from the start. The disadvantages of an iPad over a laptop were many, but the lack of multitasking was the biggest. That’s been fixed now – at least well enough so most people don’t notice.

Lack of a physical keyboard is another problem, but iPhone 4.0 gets proper third-party Bluetooth keyboard support. Apple’s official keyboard accessory, the ‘iPad Keyboard Dock’, is very unlike-Apple. It can only be used on a flat surface, and doesn’t look toddler proof: it places a lot of strain on a fragile connection. The Apple Wireless Keyboard will work, but it’s a generic device. It doesn’t make typing on your lap practical, as a custom-designed keyboard might*.

But the iPad has gained VPN support and crypto, two strong candidates for grown-up computing. Whether any of the iPhone OS ssh clients can now sprout standard features such as port forwarding remains to be seen. I have no fear of jailbreaking to get at such raw features, but plenty of people quite understandably do.

Apple’s version of multitasking may almost be good enough. I liked the observation that “if you see a stylus, they blew it. In multitasking, if you see a task manager… they blew it. Users shouldn’t ever have to think about it.”

True, but Apple’s method gets weary and RSI-inducing very quickly. Remember that most of us, most of the time, switch between just two tasks. iPhone OS 4.0 lacks a quick gesture to achieve this.

But I think with the OS update, the iPad will be finding its way into potential buying decisions in a way it didn’t at launch.

In January I had three good reasons to dismiss it as a laptop alternative: price, multitasking and the lack of a USB port. I consider the latter an essential gateway to a wider world of hardware such as cameras, card readers, controllers and things we haven’t thought of yet.

Well, USB obviously isn’t going to be fixed in this year’s model, and may never be. It clashes with the purity, or puritanism, of the Steve approach. Multitasking has been fixed. The price for UK users still hasn’t been revealed – so that’s a variable. Obviously I’m not going to be writing a book on an iPad. But quite unexpectedly, it’s looking like a useful bit of daily computing kit.

What are your deal breakers?

In the past ten years I’ve tried every Bluetooth keyboard going and paired it with a smartphone. Each time, against my better judgement, I thought it might work. They were all more trouble than they were worth.

Resource:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/04/12/ipad_for_work/

Clearly, such treatment would be reserved for a development so indisputably vital that it would change civilization as we know it. That event has arrived, in the form of a $500-to-$800 product that you should feel guilty for not having, even though it doesn’t hit the stores until Saturday.

The iPad might turn out to be so revolutionary that we’ll look back on its unveiling like Alexander Graham Bell speaking to Mr. Watson. Or not. But Apple and its media maestro, Steve Jobs, are once again reaping what amounts to tens of millions of dollars in free publicity.

Time Managing Editor Rick Stengel says he remained skeptical as “a lot of people in our business have looked at the iPad as the Jesus tablet, the savior.” But “when Steve came here for breakfast” to demonstrate the device earlier this year, “I thought it’s a fantastic thing for almost every kind of content, including surfing the Web.

“We’ve had a long relationship with Steve. Steve looks at Time as an iconic American brand. We’ve got exclusive access at a time when he’s giving nobody else access.”

Newsweek Editor Jon Meacham says his technology team convinced him “that the iPad could finally be the device that does for visual content what the iPod did for music. To my mind, there’s no bigger story about media or culture — and media and culture affect everything else — than the future of the delivery of news, and that made an iPad cover a clear call.”

Even veteran Apple-watchers who have seen the company make headlines with mere product upgrades are shaking their heads. “Their ability to get press all out of proportion to news value has amazed me for decades — and I say that as a former Apple beat reporter, longtime fanboy and someone who’s counting the minutes until UPS shows up with my iPad,” says Mark Potts, chief executive of the online technology company GrowthSpur and a former Washington Post reporter. “The level of hype is insane. There’s simply no other company that gets coverage of product launches like this.”

The same media outlets covering the phenomenon are also hoping to profit from the iPad. The Wall Street Journal and New York Times struck nondisclosure agreements with Apple in exchange for early samples for their development teams.

“We’ve been allowed to work on one, and it’s under padlock and key,” Rupert Murdoch, whose News Corp. owns the Journal, said last month. “The key is turned by Apple every night.” The Journal is offering a stand-alone subscription to its iPad content for $3.99 a week.

Time, USA Today, CBS, NBC, ABC, National Public Radio and many other media organizations have also rushed out their new iPad applications. The Washington Post, which did not receive advance access to the device and has not published a detailed review, is working on its iPad app.

Print reviewers might harbor a deep-seated wish that this tablet computer proves capable of rescuing their battered business, thereby preserving their way of life. What’s more, the folks who write about technology adore fancy gizmos. Many are Mac users. They revel in the Apple-orchestrated drama of these rollouts.

Apple is widely credited with making elegant products, from the iPod to the iPhone, that have lifted the level of consumer technology. But there is something about the company — and the secrecy cultivated by Jobs, who famously refused to talk about his own health problems — that makes some of the smartest tech writers go weak in the knees. Keep in mind that Jobs unveiled this thing back in January.

The first wave of reviews has been overwhelmingly positive.

Newsweek’s Daniel Lyons (who blogs as Fake Steve Jobs): “The iPad could eventually become your TV, your newspaper, and your bookshelf.”

Wall Street Journal’s Walt Mossberg: “After spending hours and hours with it, I believe this beautiful new touch-screen device from Apple has the potential to change portable computing profoundly, and to challenge the primacy of the laptop.”

Time’s Stephen Fry: “I have met five British Prime Ministers, two American Presidents, Nelson Mandela, Michael Jackson and the Queen. My hour with Steve Jobs certainly made me more nervous than any of those encounters. . . . I do believe Jobs to be a truly great figure, one of the small group of innovators who have changed the world.”

But some have also pointed out flaws. New York Times columnist David Pogue delivered a mixed review, noting: “When the iPad is upright, typing on the on-screen keyboard is a horrible experience; when the iPad is turned 90 degrees, the keyboard is just barely usable. The bottom line is that you can get a laptop for much less money. . . . Besides: If you’ve already got a laptop and a smartphone, who’s going to carry around a third machine?”

Rather than relying on news coverage alone, Apple marketers also landed a high-profile product placement. Wednesday’s episode of the ABC sitcom “Modern Family” was devoted to the iPad, with the striving-to-be-hip dad exclaiming: “Oh my God, you got it! All this time I said I didn’t care but I do care! I care so much!”

OMG indeed.

Apple has logged 240,000 advance orders, but the question is whether the media blitz will convince millions of ordinary people that, recession or no recession, they simply must have a product that they didn’t know they needed.

“It’s amazing how we all get caught up in this,” Stengel says.

Resource:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/04/02/AR2010040204077.html

Mr. Byron, a 54-year-old banker from Connecticut, emerged from the Apple store on Fifth Avenue in Manhattan this week with a new business card scanner and serious doubts about the tablet computer trend.

“I can do everything on my MacBook Pro, cellphone and BlackBerry,” Mr. Byron said. “I don’t need any more devices. I already have six phone numbers and enough things to plug in at night.”

For all the exuberance surrounding Apple’s new gadget — and the circuslike atmosphere at Apple stores that is sure to accompany its debut on Saturday — sentiments like that are, for Apple at least, uncomfortably common.

Many consumers do not understand the device’s purpose, who would want to pay $500 or more for it and why anyone would need another gadget on top of a computer and smartphone. After all, phones are performing an ever-expanding range of functions, as Apple points out in its many iPhone commercials.

“The first five million will be sold in a heartbeat,” said Guy Kawasaki, a Silicon Valley entrepreneur who was a marketing executive at Apple in the 1980s. “But let’s see: you can’t make a phone call with it, you can’t take a picture with it, and you have to buy content that before now you were not willing to pay for. That seems tough to me.”

Apple and other technology companies that are introducing a wave of touch-screen tablets face an ambitious challenge. The industry wants to create a market for a new type of device that most people do not really need — or do not yet know they need.

Tablets are intended to allow people to watch video, browse the Web, play video games and read books, magazines and newspapers everywhere they go without the bulky inconveniences of a full-fledged laptop.

The people who have already ordered an iPad or will show up at the Apple store on Saturday “are technophiles — the phrase ‘leading-edge technology’ sends goosebumps all over their skin,” said Eitan Muller, a professor of high-tech marketing at New York University’s Stern School of Business.

But those people make up only 16 percent of the total potential market for the iPad, Professor Muller said. “The main market is made up of pragmatists, and the same phrase sends them into convulsions.”

Technology research firms are trying to measure this skepticism ahead of the iPad’s introduction. One firm, NPD, found in a study that 18 percent of consumers expressed interest in owning an iPad.

Interviews with a range of people over the last week underscored this uncertainty. There was a subtle sense of frustration among some consumers that they were being asked to bring yet another expensive device into lives already cluttered with finger-smudged screens and tangled power cords.

“I just want to know, what is this supposed to be used for?” said Ebony White, 21, a child care worker in San Francisco who has discussed the iPad with her friends, all of whom have decided to pass. “If I was going to spend that much money to buy something, it would just be a computer, because it costs just as much and it can do more things.”

She added: “Where am I supposed to use it? Am I supposed to use it on the bus — and get robbed?”

John Morgan, 48, who was visiting New York from Rockville, Md., with his family last week, has already pledged his devotion to Steve Jobs & Company. “We’re a six-iPod family,” he said. But he vowed they would remain a zero-iPad family: “It’s too expensive.”

His son Alex, 9, added that the family already had an iPod Touch, “so it’s not like we need one.”

Karla Villarreal, 28, an entertainment and business promoter from Queens, is also an unabashed Apple fan, and dug through her bag for her iPod Nano, iPod Touch and BlackBerry on the New York subway this week. But those devices, she said, leave little room in her technology budget — or her purse — for a new tablet computer. “It’s going to be really hard, especially during this recession. So, no more devices for me,” she said.

It may be too early to gauge consumer interest in the iPad. Developers have not yet had time to prepare a variety of applications for the device, and Apple has not yet done much of what it perhaps does best: advertise.

Gene Munster, an analyst with Piper Jaffray, estimates that Apple will spend $515 million on advertising this year and devote $77 million of that, or 15 percent, to promoting the iPad. If its commercial that first appeared during the Academy Awards broadcast is any guide, those ads will not highlight any one aspect of the device, but will aim to convey a general feeling of exciting possibility.

“Apple will position this like they positioned the iPhone: as a fun entertainment machine,” said Don Norman, a professor at Northwestern University who has predicted the proliferation of multiple screens and devices. “Their ads will make people feel like using the machine, even if what they’re doing with it is beside the point.”

In some respects, time is on Apple’s side. The price of the iPad will inevitably come down, and developers will produce inventive applications for the device, creating new uses for it as they did for the iPhone.

The Apple acolytes will perform much of Apple’s hardest work for it: toting the iPad into subways and stores, where its presence could have the same head-turning impact that the iPod, with its white ear buds, delivered eight years ago.

“It’s a want, as opposed to a need,” said one of those Apple fans, Ryan Kenney, 29, describing his nascent desire for the iPad in New York this week. “You don’t really need it. Between a smartphone and a laptop, that covers all the bases.”

“But I’d wear their underwear if they made it.”

Resource:
http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/apr2010/tc2010041_600018.htm

Apple’s (AAPL) iPad is helping cool the computer industry’s netbook fever. Apple Chief Executive Steve Jobs has made no secret of his disdain for the popular, inexpensive mini-notebooks. “Netbooks aren’t better than anything. They’re just cheap laptops,” Jobs said at the Jan. 27 launch of the iPad tablet computer in San Francisco.

PC makers are starting to worry that consumers agree. The sales growth of netbooks, priced from $200 to $500 and resembling shrunk-down laptops, slowed markedly in the first quarter, according to market researcher IDC.

Netbook shipments to retailers from January through March are expected to grow 33.6% compared with a year ago, to 4.8 million units, IDC says. That’s significantly slower growth than in the first quarter of 2009, when netbook sales leapt 872%, to 3.6 million units. “Everyone tried to make these mini-notebooks out to be a different category, or different type of device,” says IDC analyst Richard Shim. “In fact, people think of them as just another type of PC.”

Falling sales aren’t the only problem dogging netbooks. There’s evidence that demand for netbook components is declining. The Web site DigiTimes reported on Mar. 30 that makers of the liquid-crystal-display panels used in netbooks are cutting production because of declining orders. PC makers including Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Dell (DELL), and Acer declined to comment on whether inventories of unsold netbooks are on the rise.

Seeking the Next Big Thing

Susie Ramirez, a spokeswoman for Intel, which makes the Atom chip used in most netbooks, declined to say whether PC makers are ordering fewer of the chips. “Things change quarter to quarter, but in the end we’re looking at hundreds of millions of netbooks that will be sold over time,” she says.

Some PC makers are starting to look past the category and divine what will next capture consumers’ attention in the portable computer market. Michael Abary, senior vice-president of Sony’s (SNE) Information Products Technology Div., which makes Vaio-branded desktops, laptops, and netbooks, says the mini-laptops are “losing [their] novelty. Everyone is trying to figure out what’s next, now that we realize [sales are] not going to continue to grow at an astronomical rate.”

Sales of netbooks, which became popular among American consumers in 2008, exploded as recession-battered shoppers opted for the cheap but less capable laptops. When many people got them home, they were disappointed by flimsy keyboards, unfamiliar operating systems, and a lack of programs that could be run on the machines.

To be sure, absolute netbook sales have increased from a year ago. “They’re going to be a permanent part of the landscape,” says Shim. But consumers have become less willing to give up features available on full-priced laptops—such as the ability to play video games or edit photos—in favor of netbooks’ low price, he says. And full-fledged laptops are themselves becoming slimmer and smaller.

Profits at Risk

If netbooks become less attractive to consumers, it could hurt PC makers’ profits. Netbooks accounted for a record 26% of all PCs sold during the holiday shopping period, according to PC vendors.

During the past two years, amid weak business sales of PCs, many retailers have emphasized computers that appeal to consumers. Best Buy (BBY), the nation’s largest consumer electronics retail chain, reported that netbooks contributed to double-digit growth in mobile computer sales during the holiday shopping season. Best Buy spokesman Justin Barber says the company won’t discuss sales for the first quarter until results are reported.

The imminent arrival of the iPad, which goes on sale in the U.S. Apr. 3, may be partly to blame for netbooks’ cooler reception. A Web survey of 1,631 consumers released Mar. 30 by comparison-shopping Web site PriceGrabber.com found that about a fifth of potential netbook and notebook buyers are considering buying an iPad instead of a more traditional portable machine.

The iPad, a touchscreen tablet computer that starts at $499, will let users read e-mail, access the Internet, watch videos, and read electronic books, magazines, and newspapers. Many netbooks, which are far less powerful, sell for about $300.

Resource:
http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/apr2010/tc2010041_600018.htm